A better understanding of Earth's gravity field and its associated geoid will significantly advance our knowledge of how the Earth-system works. In particular, an accurate model of the geoid will advance our understanding global ocean circulation patterns.
Ocean circulation plays a crucial role in climate regulation by transporting heat from low to high latitudes in surface waters, while currents cooled at high latitudes flow in deeper waters back towards the Equator. The Gulf Stream, which carries warm surface waters northwards from the Gulf of Mexico, is a good example of the important role ocean currents play in moderating the climate. Thanks to this current, the coastal waters of Europe are actually 4°C warmer than waters at equivalent latitudes in the North Pacific. However, knowledge of the role that the oceans play in the Earth system is currently insufficient for the accurate prediction of climate change.
In order to study ocean circulation more effectively it is necessary to have an accurate map of the Earth’s geoid. The geoid represents the shape of a hypothetical ocean surface at rest in response to variations in the Earth's gravity field. External forces such as the wind cause the actual sea surface to deviate from the geoid. Existing ESA ocean altimeter systems such as those on ERS and Envisat measure sea-surface height and typically show +/- 1 metre variations relative to the geoid. Importantly, the large-scale current systems flow along the lines of equal topography and are focused around the strongest gradients in sea-surface height.
Presently, the degree to which altimetry data can be used to make precise estimates of the transport of heat, salt and freshwater, is limited by the quality of the geoid at short length scales. It is therefore the combination of sea-surface height mapped by altimeters and the knowledge of the precise ocean geoid that will improve our understanding of surface currents and lead to a better knowledge of general ocean circulation patterns – crucial for understanding climate change.
Given the exciting possibility of the new GOCE 1-2 cm global geoid, satellite-altimetry data records spanning the last 15 years can be used to provide a detailed retrospective picture of ocean circulation patterns and variations, and their consequences for the global water and energy cycles.